By Joaquin
#3418 What are your thoughts as the tribes merge? Who is playing well so far? Who is too big of a threat? Who's a goat unless they change?
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Joaquin

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By Joaquin
#3419 For me (I don't see confessionals so maybe I'm off base here...):

Winner Pick:
  • Sierra. The only people who know how good she is from Indonesia...are the Indonesia people, who I'm guessing want to align with her. But she also voted with the Faroe squad after the swap. She seems well integrated with everyone left, isn't one of the obvious big threats left, but has the game to win.

Big Threats/Players to Watch
  • Ozzy - Don't know him personally but his TC answers were extremely perceptive, I know he is a gamer from Suriname. Has connections from Faroe and Suriname but also voted with Drew + Dan
  • Drew - Been in command the entire premerge, I think every vote went his way (except for the double idol play, but he was in the majority). His flaw in Indonesia was that all of his scheming worked almost ~too well~ and people woke up to it, but he doesn't seem to have that issue yet.
  • Penner - Cruise controlled through the premerge, and everyone wanted to be his ally. Every vote went his way. But he is a former winner and the Dale situation might have blown up his good position. We'll see how good he is.
  • Heidi - Was almost fucked after the first swap but the second swap saved her. Every vote went her way on OG Saipan, and seemed to be in a fine position right before the merge. Her only season connection is Tammy, and she is very outspoken, but is a fighter.

Big Characters
  • Dan - The merge came at a great time for Dan. A huge personality, I love watching him. Wonder what type of game it would take for him to win. Way smarter than people give him credit for.
  • Sugar - Says what she wants, of all the people I hadn't seen before she has been BY FAR the most entertaining at tribals.

Needs to do some work
  • Val - Won Indonesia, but is coming off as way less of a threat than even some pre-mergers. Needs to really pull some big stunts, I feel.
  • Richard - I'm guessing he's perceived as a Penner follower and was at the heart of the Dale scandal. Gonna really need to play flawlessly to win to get past that.
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Joaquin

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By Jeff Probst
#3431 Hate that we can't discuss this at length given Dale's bullshit, but I'll say I think Richard will probably play a decent game in the merge but will still lose, I don't know if he can come back from this. I could easily see him being "robbed" at the end.

But, everyone loves an underdog story, he could easily say "after my dale drama no one gave me a shot in hell of winning and I'm still here."
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Jeff Probst

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