[Kelly Wigles]

- Fri Oct 14, 2016 3:42:00 am #5476 Sup Sierra! here are some questions for round 14:

1)How are you feeling so far? If i remember correctly this is the farthest you've ever been in the game, learning anything new having gotten this far?

2)You were voted most trustworthy by your tribe, does that give you some advantage knowing that people do trust you in this game?

3)After the craziness of that tribal, could you give me a ranking of the people in the game based on most to least trustworthy?

[Sierra]

- Fri Oct 14, 2016 5:09:30 am #5537 Nah I'm not that trusted, I just gotta keep it to where nobody can touch me. Think I've done a decent job of that so far, but the job is far from over.

Yeah F8 is by far the best I've done in Stranded, didn't even make merge last time and as you guys know I was just so pissed off at my whole game. Did nothing, accomplished nothing, messed up at the swap in some ways. Just wasn't good, and I wasted a really strong start to my game in Indonesia. I could've VERY realistically won that game and just shit the bed. Have I learned much new, eh... not really. Been playing these on and off for a while, at least 10 or so games back in the day, so I pretty know as much as I ever will lol.

Well I mean I'd have to double-check but I think one of the votes for me being trustworthy came from Val... so that goes to show you what those results are worth! But yeah I didn't like the fact that Tammy felt the need to single me out when she so obviously could've just gone with Heidi. Maybe it was her way of showing me she wants to work together, but really it probably just raised red flags in others' minds. I'll have to really dig into those challenge results at some point, trust me I'm not ignoring them as much as I claimed to at Tribal.

See, I think Hayden could put the knife in me at some point (which I'd respect, I've played in a Hayden-style many times, and I have a high level of respect for his style of play), but for now I'm putting him at #1.

1. Hayden - love the kid, underrated player, kind of paranoid like me, wish I had more time with him pre-merge. Definitely using the Dan bond to sort of get in better with him, I feel like I neglected him a bit earlier in the game on Pohnpei, which is on me. Do I trust him to bring me to F3? Maybe not. But maybe. Especially if the other options are....

2. Tammy
3. Heidi

Those two I trust in the sense that they NEED my ass, and they KNOW they need me. I think they need me anyway. This is a big round, because it's honestly probably in my best strategic interests to see my #4 choice go home this round, in...

4. Sugar. Think she likes me a lot, says she does, I think she's flat-out awesome but WAAAAY different from me in terms of how far she's willing to go to win this game I think. It's hard to play with Sugar because you just know that the only predictable thing about her is that she's unpredictable. I think I'm in good standing with her and she'll hopefully protect me heading into this next big vote. If she left the game this round (which seems virtually impossible), my short term positioning probably benefits. Long-term not sure.

Not gonna backstab her though unless she forces my hand, and I'll be honest, she damn near forced my hand tonight. See I fucked up by getting caught in lies about Tammy, Heidi and Val with her. It's a lot to explain, but suffice it to say if she believed my explanation then I got VERY lucky tonight, because that was sloppy as all fuck by me. And knowing that Heidi and Tammy were probably gonna go for her, I would have had to at least think about a very dick move had Val won immunity. I'm not sure I'd be here right now if Val won immunity actually. That would've been SHIT and hard to work around, so I'm happy Tammy pulled that out and seems to have become the new focus with her immunity necklace still being a thing. Thank GOD she didn't sell me out to Penner yet, thank GOD she didn't give immunity to Val. Undoubted signs of short-term trust, leaving me some "Wigle" room.

5. Nate
6. Penner
7. Ozzy

Ozzy... you better get rid of me and quick motherfucker. Gonna call me out as a threat or a winner-type? That's not wise buddy, that's not wise. Then of course I was forced to also notice how politically correct he played that entire challenge on top of that, reminded me of myself. Last thing you need is me setting my sights on you before the others, because believe me, if I can manage to get Sugar somehow onto the same page for this vote coming up with the two girls (an EXTREMELY tall order and maybe it isn't doable), you better believe we could see some real repercussions for Oscar. Maybe as soon as this round. Not sure yet, but I'm treating that as almost a direct callout, and he's treading on VERY thin ice with me.

Might need to start shitting on future jurors, god knows I'm gonna continue to talk about the non-relationship between myself and Val so they know Dan's vote is canceled out. I came into this game knowing anything can happen with 24 players, but now I'm close enough to the end to where I'm back to my natural habitat/mindset of win or bust. Dan better not be fucking bitter. But he might be, I think he's gonna be absolutely disgusted if I wind up going far with Tammy or Heidi. Sent him one gift tonight in the queen of Indo, Val, who he doesn't like... maybe I can send him both Heidi and Tammy at a later date.

Tammy is a fucking amazing player. This is like a C+ effort from her usual Mikester standards (she hasn't been "off", but just semi-inactive for some of the game) and she's still arguably played the best game to this point. She's ALWAYS a threat, and very capable of snatching this game if she gets close enough... she's won a bunch of games I'm pretty sure so dat FTC experience doe. How close can I let her get to the end? Heidi I'm less familiar with, she's a little less robotic but a LOT less subtle too. They're a powerful fucking duo, and it's no secret that one of the most LOYAL duos was the one that ended up being the last pair in this theme. No duo had more of a pre-game bond coming in, because not only do they go so far back, but I don't think they know anyone else here... it's always scary facing two people who view each others' games as just as important as their own. I loved Dan both seasons, but I NEVER truly would have put Dan above myself if I could avoid it. I think I convinced myself at a point that I would, but I'm just not built that way. I'll always be an absolute mercenary.

I should go to bed now, I told the rest of the cast I was going to, so I don't wanna stay on too late or that'll look sketch. Looking forward to this weekend like you wouldn't believe.

[Kelly Wigles]

- Fri Oct 14, 2016 5:12:39 pm #5570 Great responses Sierra! Correct me if I'm wrong but it's looking like your team is going to be siding with Tammy and Heidi in this upcoming round?

[Jeff Probst]

- Fri Oct 14, 2016 6:40:59 pm #5576 As a practice, try and imagine yourself as an outsider just viewing this season from afar. Could you list for me who you think everyone views as the most threatening to win the game to the least threatening? Include yourself in that ranking.

[Sierra]

- Fri Oct 14, 2016 10:47:19 pm #5581 Kelly - maybe. I don't know if I can (or want to) convince Sugar to do that yet. Honestly I'm probably gonna promise Sugar a F3 soon and try to ease her into the idea of Faroe being together. I was NOT thinking about the Suriname ties she has to Ozzy though, and I really hope she will be receptive to targeting the boys in the near future... in one of these next two rounds, at least one of Nate, Ozzy or Penner needs to go. If she's not with that plan, that could spell trouble. They're making real progress with her and I could still get caught between Tammy/Heidi's selfishness, Sugar, and the Faroe 3. In no way am I safe this round and I dread the idea of a rock pull. I'm over-thinking this, but here's part of what I was thinking about last night.

If Sugar will only consider sending out a Faroe at F7 AFTER Heidi is gone, then I'm praying Tammy doesn't use the necklace on Heidi, or win another necklace. I really hope Heidi can be voted for at this Tribal. That way Tammy can be immune, Heidi can be voted for (and possibly taken out of the tiebreaker due to safety, making her more likely to vote with me and Hayden maybe), and maybe one of me or Hayden will be immune too.

Then we can go about flushing the idol, hopefully guessing right, forcing a 4-4 tie if Sugar is dead-set on sending out Heidi... and then I might flip on the revote and again take all the heat, which hopefully Hayden will appreciate. Heidi gone, Tammy's one-round immunity will be on a wasted F7 round when she'd be a swing vote anyway, and still forced to work with me if she wants to prevent the Faroe takeover. I have to have mad contingencies if Heidi becomes immune, which will possible until AFTER our last chance to PM. Me and Hayden will have to really hash this out, how we want to approach this whole deal.

Outsider viewing the season from afar... let's see here.

1. Ozzy
2. Sierra
3. Tammy
4. Penner
5. Heidi
6. Hayden
7. Nate
8. Sugar

That's based on a few things, but mostly current positioning in the game as I see it. Heidi doesn't have many friends here as I see it, and not many are going to be forgetting that like me, she was pretty much just about to be voted out of the game at F15. She may as well have been voted out of the game actually, I'll go that far. Both of us were bailed out by swaps at key times (though I feel my situation was somewhat more excusable from what I've heard), so she's one person who I know can't throw that particular stone at a FTC setting.

Imagining myself trying to beat a Faroe guy in the F3 is not easy... two or three sealed votes presumably, 4 total idols found out of 5 I believe between them, big target on them coming in, had to withstand #Dalegate and other tough spots to get there. Do I think Nate would be gone right now having wasted two idols had Rachel not seemingly tipped him off at Pohnpei with her "LOOOOOOOOOL" post at that TC, following his first wrong idol play on Mookie? Maybe. But because that also helped me gain better positioning, I have no right to use that against him. Tough to form a winning case against any of them, though of course I'll try to use this to leverage the shit out of Heidi and Tammy. Ozzy is THE single most desirable person to send home for me right now. I'm ready to see him go whenever it becomes realistic.

It also depends on what "threatening" means, I mean there's a lot of ways to look at it. I think Hayden is in the single safest spot, but I also think he's comfortable riding things out for a couple more rounds. I think I'm one of the better spots right now in terms of paths to 1st place, but I'm in no way safe.

[Jeff Probst]

- Sat Oct 15, 2016 5:47:08 am #5592 So my question is the same as it is to all people who view themselves as threats. What happens after you get out Heidi/Ozzy as you said you were thinking of doing? Are you then left in the game as the largets target?

[Sierra]

- Sat Oct 15, 2016 2:57:50 pm #5598 It's a tough thing to figure out... I don't think I'm going to be able to get to Ozzy as easily as I thought I could. Looking back at some PMs with Sugar, she likes N8 less than both Penner and Ozzy... I don't know how I'm viewed by the others, but it's easy to paint me as a jury threat. My PMs are long, I've yet to be voted for once all game, I have a presumed sealed jury vote, and I'm "social". So it's no secret I have to surround myself with other threats. Part of that is incentivizing people to want to get rid of "easier" FTC opponents. Everyone knows that me, Hayden and Sugar are a trio (at least in name), but Heidi and others have made it clear that in her view, no one is gonna vote for either of them over anyone at FTC. Therefore I can only assume they think THEY'LL be discarded by Faroe in favor of those two if they can manage it.

Really this is such a fluid situation. I can't even predict this round let alone how I'm going to try to convince people I'm beatable in the end. I'm in that dreaded spot where I may be beatable, but it's not easy to notice it for other players in the game. Realistic win positioning doesn't get much worse than that, so if that's the case I need to fix it somehow...

[Sierra]

- Sat Oct 15, 2016 3:06:11 pm #5599 Hayden/Sugar better not be triple dealing with Penner trying to set me up for later... sheesh. The closer Faroe is to each other, the better off I think I am... Penner deciding to work against the others from the inside (something Hayden seems to think is possible) doesn't bode well for me because I'm kind of uninformed in terms of who's close to who in that trio... fuck... now Hayden trying to deter me from talking openly with Sugar about this upcoming vote...

[Kelly Wigles]

- Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:45:33 pm #5605 What's Hayden's reasoning for trying to deter you from talking to Sugar?

[Jeff Probst]

- Sun Oct 16, 2016 2:41:36 am #5610 As it stands now, there are 4 women and 4 men in the game. You stated earlier you were worried about a boys club going on. Obviously, you're all men, but in game terms you had mentioned a boys club. Are you concerned about that still?

As with any "obvious boot", there's room for and the risk of a blindside. Are you concernd you will be ont he wrong side of a blindside? And if everyone is agreeing on an obvious boot, does that then mean that everyone has plans that extend beyond this vote that make them feel safe?

[Sierra]

- Mon Oct 17, 2016 7:41:35 pm #5635 Ugh, sorry about the delay in getting to your questions. I feel my game slipping away from me and I'm just waiting to get some free time to lay out a full rant. I'll get back to y'all either later or if I don't have time, in Episode 15 (assuming I'm still here lmao). Suffice it to say I'm no longer that confident and want to use every second I can on here trying to remedy that situation.

[Sierra]

- Mon Oct 17, 2016 9:14:25 pm #5637 Alright, quick breakdown.

Kind of paranoid. It seems like Hayden and maybe Sugar are trying to position themselves in a better spot than me. Everyone knows Penner is more likely to work with them to go deep than me, and it's possible Hayden perceives that if me and him play the same game from here on out, that I might be more likely to win a jury vote. I don't know about that, but I kind of could see that being his perception, considering he's talked openly about wanting to move on the "big dogs" as soon as possible.

If Nate leaves tonight and I'm able to save Heidi and Tammy, maybe I can work with those two girls plus Ozzy until the Final Five, and then hopefully drift a little bit further back in the pack. Then at F5, me, Ozzy and that 3rd person could hopefully take out Tammy or Heidi. I feel like H/T will not go after me in the near future, I don't know why but I do, but I also realize that if we save them tonight, I'm almost pot-committed to go to at least F5 with them with the immunity necklaces. And that's something Hayden and Sugar might recognize. I just want players with perceived "threat" images around deep into this game, and if we can get rid of Nate tonight, I think that puts me in my ideal position going forward. Heidi and Tammy I think would rather see Sugar leave than me (and maybe Hayden), and so would Ozzy because he knows what a jury threat he is. He kinda feels like he needs those types of shields in the game later, IMO.

I don't know if I can make an overt move against Hayden or Sugar and live with myself, but I can't play for them when I don't fully trust either one, either. It's all a guessing game at this point. Heidi's even saying "loyalty means less and less later in the game", and I'm just like really girl? I've been trying for days to get on the same page with you and then you give me a damning statement like that, making me doubt you? Ugh... I don't know what to do. I really don't. So many ways to go about this vote tonight, but I really wish now that I never opened my mouth to Heidi and Tammy about Penner's plan... I didn't have to do that, and I don't think it earned me as many brownie points with them as I'd initially hoped. All it did was give them leverage, especially when I think back to how specific I was with some of the details I gave them.

[Sierra]

- Tue Oct 18, 2016 3:02:54 am #5771 I'm on the hook tonight. I know it. COME ON, PLEASE FUCKING WORK, NATE PLAN...

[Sierra]

- Tue Oct 18, 2016 3:31:46 am #5868 Fuck... (I think)... he might have just wasted that, but more than likely I'm gone and he just did that to ease people off him. Let's see what happens.

[Sierra]

- Tue Oct 18, 2016 3:35:15 am #5869 This jinx worked in round two, lemme try one more time: thanks for the game, guys. Preesh! lol

[Sierra]

- Tue Oct 18, 2016 3:40:01 am #5884 Oh boy...

I know that feeling...