- Mon Sep 26, 2016 7:01:20 am
#821
So I've decided to go ahead and make a blog, cause Mia and Lisa make it look super fun. Here are my thoughts on the first few days leading up to the first tribals:
STRANDED WITH ALLIES - EPISODE 1 "Sup, Bro"
Nauru Tribe:
The general thing that's happening throughout the game is that the allies are all working with each other(unless their relationship isn't all that solid to begin with). Of all the tribes, this one seems to be the most affected by previous relationships most of it centering around Flicka trying to pull one over on Liliana. Liliana's hijinks in Suriname has put so much fear and paranoia in Flicka that she wants her gone ASAP. Poor Liliana on the other hand completely trusts Flicka BECAUSE of what happened in Suriname.
As for the rest of the tribe, Dale and Drew are sticking together and have become bff's with Flicka and Sugar, which is something we all predicted because of their personalities. Drew is still back to his old schtick of wanting so bad to be a top dog while Dale is basically still being himself, someone a little too personable and easy to trust.
Pohnpei Tribe:
This tribe is all about the bro's in my opinion. Dan is mr. popular with this tribe since most of the guys are just fans of him and their personalities gel well. Dan-Mookie-Hayden-Ozzy-Nate are all easily connected. The 3 women are easily the ones in the most trouble. Lucky for them Katie is a no-show so she's pretty much the first boot. If I were Sierra or Jessica though, i'd be shaking my boots since it's between the two of them as to who goes next. Here's the breakdown:
Dan-Mookie-Hayden and Nate are all basically one unit with Ozzy connected by default (I'll explain later). Now it's in Hayden, Nate and Mookie's best interest to ditch Sierra because that would guarantee Dan's loyalty. Meanwhile the same can be said for Jessica leaving as she's not that close with Nate anyhow.
Ozzy on the other hand, is not nearly as well embedded in the bro-alliance as he's letting on and is putting so much focus on idol-hunting. He;s talked about getting rid of Dan but I don't know if he actually has any pull to make that happen.
I would say after Katie, Jessica is in the most trouble since Sierra at least has Dan pulling for her. Which is a shame since she seems to be really great, strategic player.
Saipan Tribe:
This one is the more strategically exciting tribe of the three. Penner and Cassandra have basically found themselves in the perfect power position between two other partners: Val/Nadiya and Heidi/Tammy with Richard as their third wheel.
Chris coming off like a weirdo in his initial PM's and generally being absent has made him the obvious first boot from this tribe. This happening gives Penner/Cassandra enough power as it lets their secret third wheel Richard sail to the next phase of the game.
The only way Penner/Cass get dethroned is if Val/Nadiya and Heidi/Tammy secretly begin working together which would already be hard because P/C already have solid deals and relationships with each of the partners.
All in all it looks like the upcoming tribals are just gonna be teasers to the real action that's gonna go down in the second episode when all the dead weight are gone and people really start going at each other.
Right now the best positioned people are:
Richard, Penner and Cassandra - They're playing the best game within their tribe right now, especially Richard getting temporary immunity and being secret bff's with Penner.
while the people in the worst position, not counting the obvious initial boots, are:
the women of Pohnpei - I see the boys being so solid together that the girls are not going to be able to break through. Maybe Sierra but it's too precarious a situation right now, plus she was late so she's even more behind socially.
Liliana - She's already admitted that no one is talking strategy with her and with Flicka being ranked as her most trusted, she has no clue that it;s about to rain hell on her. Even Rocky hates her.
People to keep an eye on:
Heidi - She's the most detatched in terms of having fan goggles for Penner and could potentially turn the tables on him.
Ozzy - He's got something to prove and he's at least thinking about the possibility of taking out king Dan.
STRANDED WITH ALLIES - EPISODE 1 "Sup, Bro"
Nauru Tribe:
The general thing that's happening throughout the game is that the allies are all working with each other(unless their relationship isn't all that solid to begin with). Of all the tribes, this one seems to be the most affected by previous relationships most of it centering around Flicka trying to pull one over on Liliana. Liliana's hijinks in Suriname has put so much fear and paranoia in Flicka that she wants her gone ASAP. Poor Liliana on the other hand completely trusts Flicka BECAUSE of what happened in Suriname.
As for the rest of the tribe, Dale and Drew are sticking together and have become bff's with Flicka and Sugar, which is something we all predicted because of their personalities. Drew is still back to his old schtick of wanting so bad to be a top dog while Dale is basically still being himself, someone a little too personable and easy to trust.
Pohnpei Tribe:
This tribe is all about the bro's in my opinion. Dan is mr. popular with this tribe since most of the guys are just fans of him and their personalities gel well. Dan-Mookie-Hayden-Ozzy-Nate are all easily connected. The 3 women are easily the ones in the most trouble. Lucky for them Katie is a no-show so she's pretty much the first boot. If I were Sierra or Jessica though, i'd be shaking my boots since it's between the two of them as to who goes next. Here's the breakdown:
Dan-Mookie-Hayden and Nate are all basically one unit with Ozzy connected by default (I'll explain later). Now it's in Hayden, Nate and Mookie's best interest to ditch Sierra because that would guarantee Dan's loyalty. Meanwhile the same can be said for Jessica leaving as she's not that close with Nate anyhow.
Ozzy on the other hand, is not nearly as well embedded in the bro-alliance as he's letting on and is putting so much focus on idol-hunting. He;s talked about getting rid of Dan but I don't know if he actually has any pull to make that happen.
I would say after Katie, Jessica is in the most trouble since Sierra at least has Dan pulling for her. Which is a shame since she seems to be really great, strategic player.
Saipan Tribe:
This one is the more strategically exciting tribe of the three. Penner and Cassandra have basically found themselves in the perfect power position between two other partners: Val/Nadiya and Heidi/Tammy with Richard as their third wheel.
Chris coming off like a weirdo in his initial PM's and generally being absent has made him the obvious first boot from this tribe. This happening gives Penner/Cassandra enough power as it lets their secret third wheel Richard sail to the next phase of the game.
The only way Penner/Cass get dethroned is if Val/Nadiya and Heidi/Tammy secretly begin working together which would already be hard because P/C already have solid deals and relationships with each of the partners.
All in all it looks like the upcoming tribals are just gonna be teasers to the real action that's gonna go down in the second episode when all the dead weight are gone and people really start going at each other.
Right now the best positioned people are:
Richard, Penner and Cassandra - They're playing the best game within their tribe right now, especially Richard getting temporary immunity and being secret bff's with Penner.
while the people in the worst position, not counting the obvious initial boots, are:
the women of Pohnpei - I see the boys being so solid together that the girls are not going to be able to break through. Maybe Sierra but it's too precarious a situation right now, plus she was late so she's even more behind socially.
Liliana - She's already admitted that no one is talking strategy with her and with Flicka being ranked as her most trusted, she has no clue that it;s about to rain hell on her. Even Rocky hates her.
People to keep an eye on:
Heidi - She's the most detatched in terms of having fan goggles for Penner and could potentially turn the tables on him.
Ozzy - He's got something to prove and he's at least thinking about the possibility of taking out king Dan.
Last edited by Kelly Wigles on Mon Oct 03, 2016 3:35:25 am, edited 1 time in total.